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VICKY SCHIFF Mosaic Real Estate Investors: Since beginning her investment career three decades ago, Vicky Schiff has achieved success throughout each of her ventures as a serial, real estate equity entrepreneur. Co-founding five firms since 1996, she currently serves as the co-founder, managing partner and COO of Mosaic Real Estate Investors.
As though the COVID crisis didn’t already have real estate investors on edge, combined with the tragic events in Minneapolis and subsequent protests, every investment decision is now being especially carefully scrutinized and second guessed. How long will protests last? What change will come as a result? What impacts will these two issues…
Lenders may be excused from feeling particularly stressed right now. In typical times they have often had to make difficult decisions but now they must also factor in an uncertain economy that is being driven by the virus.
For Ethan Penner, CEO and co-founder of Mosaic Real Estate Investors, each investment cycle has its own tempo. That knowledge can provide comfort in times of great upheaval. “For those of us who have been through a couple of [distressed cycles], you could figure where they are going to fall out,” Penner says. “They’re all different. But they also have a certain kind of market psychology that tends to resemble similar ones, and you could imagine how they’re going to play out.”
The coronavirus pandemic “will likely result in an unprecedented period of economic instability and recession that could last as long as three years,” according to Ethan Penner, co-founder and managing partner of Mosaic Real Estate Investors. Penner started originating commercial mortgages for securitization following the savings and loan bailout in the late 1980s, so he’s been through at least three economic cycles.
Economic uncertainty is changing lending practices, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t financing available for commercial real estate in Los Angeles. The trick, though, is finding that financing and getting the right terms. “Whatever underwriting people were using in January and February has clearly changed now,” said Kevin Shannon, co-head of capital markets at Newmark Knight Frank. “The loan terms — they are getting so dramatically different from what they were.
In violent storms, cracks in vessels suddenly reveal themselves. The same can be said for the nation’s commercial mortgage-backed securities market, as it faces a month of wider spreads and liquidity fears. The pain points emerging are not a surprise to Mosaic Real Estate Investors’ Ethan Penner, who is credited with creating the CMBS market for commercial real estate some 30 years ago. He thinks the whole system needs an update.